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Replying to this comment on linkedin from Glen Williams:

>Very interesting. Is the future of finance the design of agent incentives like an investment portfolio?

Somewhat simplistically, the original problem that traditional finance was "designed" to solve was how can we, as a society, optimally allocate capital to different economic actors in order to maximise the efficiency of the economy in an uncertain future. Since the primary economic actors making use of capital are companies, this problem became "how can we optimally allocate capital across different companies". But what should happen in an age of AGI when agents are performing all the labour? Should we then decide how best to allocate capital resources, such as compute, to different artificial agents, instead of different companies? After all, why would a truly autonomous genius-level super-intelligent agent want to work for a company?

But in fact we can ask the same question about human workers. Consider a car manufacturing company. This company is made up of lots of people producing cars. But the company isn't something physical it is just an abstraction, and in principle you could replace it with lots of bilateral contracts between eg assembly line workers, salespeople and end customers. Everyone involved would be freelancers, cooperating with each other through contracts and the market. The same number of cars could in theory be built by the same number of people in each case. The physical scenario would be identical in each case. The machinery would be identical in each case. But in the freelancer case you would still have lots of people building cars, but there would be no invisible company to coordinate this activity- instead you would relying on the market.

So why do we have companies? This is the question addressed by 'The Theory of the Firm' https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Theory_of_the_firm. The ToF conjectures that the reason we have firms (aka companies) is because of transaction costs. An example transaction cost could be the time invested in finding partners to make contracts with for all your inputs and then forming and enforcing contracts. In the 'the theory of firm' the insight is that individuals can lower their transaction costs by forming a higher-level economic agent- ie by becoming employees at a larger company. This reduces the number of contracts and the relationship management problem.

Once upon a time drawing up and enforcing the required number of contracts would have been prohibitively expensive in terms of fees for lawyers. In the modern era Web 3.0 promised smart contracts to solve this kind of problem. But smart contracts don't solve the problem of incomplete contracts https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Incomplete_contracts, and this in itself can be seen as a transaction cost in the form of a risk premium. and so we are stuck with companies. In the theory of the firm companies are a bit like socialist enclaves; individuals give up some of their autonomy and agree not to compete with fellow employees in order to reduce their transaction costs.

As an aside, transaction costs may explain the evolution of multi-cellular life. In evolutionary biology lower level competing units of selection cooperate together to form higher-level entities- genes/genomes, cells/organisms, organisms/groups, groups/societies, resulting in major transitions in evolution. The endosymbiosis between bacteria that led to the evolution of Eukaryotic Cells can be thought of as analogous to forming a company in order to reduce transaction costs (this is discussed further in S. Phelps and Y. I. Russell. Economic drivers of biological complexity. Adaptive Behavior, 23(5):315-326, 2015).

So TLDR, even if AGI agents take on all work, it is likely they will do so by forming companies, and there will still be a capital allocation problem across firms, and a need for "traditional" stock markets.

But *within* companies, there will still be potential conflict between agents which has to be managed if the company is to remain viable. *One* type of conflict within a company will be a principal-agent conflict. And the company's directors, whether human or artificial, can use incentive engineering to mitigate these.

Original comment here:

https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:7361737691337498625?commentUrn=urn%3Ali%3Acomment%3A%28activity%3A7361737691337498625%2C7361913485229780993%29&dashCommentUrn=urn%3Ali%3Afsd_comment%3A%287361913485229780993%2Curn%3Ali%3Aactivity%3A7361737691337498625%29

Parts of the reply here is edited from comments I made on a lesswrong post a few years back:

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/xRnDihKqHmnHGwu6y/?commentId=Lk4dDD8ieqKGZt7wC#Lk4dDD8ieqKGZt7wC

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